Met Department Forecasts Rainfall in 43 Counties Over the Next Seven Days

The Kenya Meteorological Department has predicted rainfall across 43 counties over the next seven days, warning that some areas could experience isolated thunderstorms.

In its weekly weather outlook covering October 9 to 16, 2026, the department listed Mandera, Wajir, Marsabit, Garissa, Tana River, Lamu, Kilifi, Mombasa and Kwale among the counties expected to receive rainfall.

Other areas likely to experience rain include Kakamega, Vihiga, Busia, Bungoma, Kisumu, Kisii, Nyamira, Migori, Siaya, Homa Bay, Kericho, Nandi, Bomet, Nakuru, Elgeyo Marakwet, West Pokot, Baringo, Uasin Gishu and Trans Nzoia.

The forecast also covers Nyeri, Murang’a, Kirinyaga, Embu, Meru, Kiambu, Tharaka Nithi, Laikipia and Nyandarua.

Parts of Kitui, Makueni, Kajiado, Narok and Nairobi are also expected to receive rainfall during the forecast period.

However, the meteorological agency cautioned that rainfall patterns would not be uniform across the listed counties, with isolated storms possible in some locations.

The latest prediction comes as Kenya continues through the October-December short rains season, which the department has indicated could bring above-average rainfall to several parts of the country.

In an earlier advisory, the department identified areas expected to receive rain within a 24-hour period. It also warned of strong southerly to southeasterly winds exceeding 25 knots in parts of Turkana, Samburu and Marsabit counties.

The short rains season is crucial to agricultural production, pasture regeneration and replenishment of water sources. However, prolonged or intense rainfall can trigger flooding, waterlogging, crop damage and transport disruptions.

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The World Meteorological Organisation had earlier warned that the Greater Horn of Africa could experience wetter-than-usual conditions in the final quarter of 2026 amid the strengthening El Niño phenomenon.

According to the organisation, increased rainfall could improve water supplies and pasture availability but also heighten the risk of flooding, agricultural losses and infrastructure damage.

Meanwhile, authorities have intensified preparations for the anticipated rains, with the government activating a national response plan and placing emergency response teams, evacuation centres and essential supplies on standby.

Residents have been urged to monitor official weather advisories and take precautions, particularly in flood-prone areas, low-lying settlements and locations near rivers.